# Latest **URL:** https://community.epinowcast.org/latest.md?page=2 [Latest](https://community.epinowcast.org/latest.md) · [Categories](https://community.epinowcast.org/categories.md) · [Tags](https://community.epinowcast.org/tags.md) **Page:** 3 --- ## [CensoredDistributions.jl: Julia Meets Messy Outbreak Delay Distribution Data](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/censoreddistributions-jl-julia-meets-messy-outbreak-delay-distribution-data/324)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 11\ **Last updated:** [13 August 2025 13:31 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/censoreddistributions-jl-julia-meets-messy-outbreak-delay-distribution-data/324 "2025-08-13T13:31:53Z")
Documentation: CensoredDistributions.epiaware.org Warning: I wrote this leaning heavily on my LLM pal, hence it being so much more up beat than my normal style! We’re excited to share CensoredDistributions.jl, born fro… --- ## [From metric to action: An evaluation framework to translate infectious disease forecasts into policy decisions](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/from-metric-to-action-an-evaluation-framework-to-translate-infectious-disease-forecasts-into-policy-decisions/323)
**Author:** [@jonathon.mellor](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/jonathon.mellor)\ **Replies:** 4\ **Last updated:** [12 August 2025 15:58 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/from-metric-to-action-an-evaluation-framework-to-translate-infectious-disease-forecasts-into-policy-decisions/323 "2025-08-12T15:58:48Z")
I’d be interested in people in this forum’s view on this pre-print: From metric to action: An evaluation framework to translate infectious disease forecasts into policy decisions, especially as I know there’s a lot of o… --- ## [Proposing new site categories](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/proposing-new-site-categories/328)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [11 August 2025 12:31 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/proposing-new-site-categories/328 "2025-08-11T12:31:02Z")
Does anyone have any thoughts on site organisation changes they would like? The current categories and tags etc are really due a clean up and reorg. --- ## [Community seminar - 2025-08-06 - show and tell](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-08-06-show-and-tell/326)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [5 August 2025 21:43 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-08-06-show-and-tell/326 "2025-08-05T21:43:49Z")
Tomorrow at 3pm UK time we have a break in regular programming and will instead be having a more casual show and tell discussion! Come and bring your favourite idea to talk about or just come to listen in. --- ## [Community Seminar - 2025-07-02 - Maile Thayer talking about Real-time modeling during the 2024-2025 Dengue Epidemic in Puerto Rico: Applications and insights](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-07-02-maile-thayer-talking-about-real-time-modeling-during-the-2024-2025-dengue-epidemic-in-puerto-rico-applications-and-insights/321)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [2 July 2025 17:49 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-07-02-maile-thayer-talking-about-real-time-modeling-during-the-2024-2025-dengue-epidemic-in-puerto-rico-applications-and-insights/321 "2025-07-02T17:49:21Z")
Today at 3pm! Post async questions and thoughts here. --- ## [Claude in artefacts to create a custom primarycensored chat bot](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/claude-in-artefacts-to-create-a-custom-primarycensored-chat-bot/318)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [1 July 2025 14:22 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/claude-in-artefacts-to-create-a-custom-primarycensored-chat-bot/318 "2025-07-01T14:22:43Z")
The new support for claude with artefacts let me take a grant app rest day to try and create my dream … customised chat interfaces to package docs (yes I am very fun). https://claude.ai/public/artifacts/f8403964-2f7a-40… --- ## [Include a simple reference model](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/include-a-simple-reference-model/34)
**Author:** [@johannes](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/johannes)\ **Replies:** 21\ **Last updated:** [30 June 2025 20:50 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/include-a-simple-reference-model/34 "2025-06-30T20:50:48Z")
I’ve discussed this with @samabbott and we think it would make sense to include a very simple reference model into the package. It should fulfil the following: runs instantly no MCMC or other fancy stuff that can go wr… --- ## [Community seminar - 2025-06-04 - Alba Halliday - Modelling diseases with delayed reporting and nested structures using a hierarchical framework](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-06-04-alba-halliday-modelling-diseases-with-delayed-reporting-and-nested-structures-using-a-hierarchical-framework/313)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 5\ **Last updated:** [4 June 2025 15:11 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-06-04-alba-halliday-modelling-diseases-with-delayed-reporting-and-nested-structures-using-a-hierarchical-framework/313 "2025-06-04T15:11:18Z")
For the June seminar we have Alba Halliday more here Alba Halliday - Modelling diseases with delayed reporting and nested structures using a hierarchical framework – Epinowcast Please post asynchronous questions below. --- ## [Interesting SM post on the dream of automatic inference](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/interesting-sm-post-on-the-dream-of-automatic-inference/314)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [28 May 2025 22:58 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/interesting-sm-post-on-the-dream-of-automatic-inference/314 "2025-05-28T22:58:38Z")
Really good post here on the dream of automatic inference: https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/05/28/ecologists-endless-quest-for-automatic-inference/ The author says “ The other option to me is that you pick yo… --- ## [What is a prior](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/what-is-a-prior/311)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 3\ **Last updated:** [23 May 2025 11:29 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/what-is-a-prior/311 "2025-05-23T11:29:47Z")
Really nice summary here of the different ways of thinking of priors https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/05/21/prior-as-data-prior-as-belief-prior-as-soft-constraint-prior-as-unconditional-distribution-in-a-gener… --- ## [Rebranding the epinowcast community and organisation](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/rebranding-the-epinowcast-community-and-organisation/304)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 5\ **Last updated:** [12 May 2025 07:53 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/rebranding-the-epinowcast-community-and-organisation/304 "2025-05-12T07:53:20Z")
As the title I was wondering if it was time to rebrand the forum and organisation away from the overlap with the epinowcast package or alternatively rename the package (though my preference is the former vs the latter). … --- ## [Generation interval estimation as a censoring problem](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/generation-interval-estimation-as-a-censoring-problem/305)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 2\ **Last updated:** [9 May 2025 10:18 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/generation-interval-estimation-as-a-censoring-problem/305 "2025-05-09T10:18:04Z")
I thought I would cross-post this issue from @sambrand brand as I think it is pretty interesting to discuss in more detail. TLDR the idea is to extend our thinking on primarycensoring to approach generation interval esti… --- ## [Measure of forecast difficulty?](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/measure-of-forecast-difficulty/272)
**Author:** [@jonathon.mellor](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/jonathon.mellor)\ **Replies:** 11\ **Last updated:** [7 May 2025 15:07 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/measure-of-forecast-difficulty/272 "2025-05-07T15:07:36Z")
Hi all, As the winter comes to an end we are starting to evaluate our suite of forecasts, and how to compare across pathogens, seasons, locations and models has come up. I think some of these are straightforward to thi… --- ## [Forecasting with variants](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/forecasting-with-variants/298)
**Author:** [@sambrand](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/sambrand)\ **Replies:** 4\ **Last updated:** [7 May 2025 15:05 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/forecasting-with-variants/298 "2025-05-07T15:05:50Z")
I was wondering about the community thoughts on epi forecast models with variants. Obviously, this was (and is) very topical around Covid modelling after new variants emerge. However, I was wondering about the extent to… --- ## [Community seminar - 2025-05-07 - Dongxuan Chen - From generation interval to superspreading potential, from population level estimates to setting-specific estimates, in the case of COVID-19](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-05-07-dongxuan-chen-from-generation-interval-to-superspreading-potential-from-population-level-estimates-to-setting-specific-estimates-in-the-case-of-covid-19/301)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [7 May 2025 15:02 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-05-07-dongxuan-chen-from-generation-interval-to-superspreading-potential-from-population-level-estimates-to-setting-specific-estimates-in-the-case-of-covid-19/301 "2025-05-07T15:02:48Z")
Tomorrow at 3pm UK time More here: Dongxuan Chen - From generation interval to superspreading potential, from population level estimates to setting-specific estimates, in the case of COVID-19 – Epinowcast Please ask qu… --- ## [Kylie Ainslie - intro](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/kylie-ainslie-intro/282)
**Author:** [@kylieainslie](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/kylieainslie)\ **Replies:** 3\ **Last updated:** [15 April 2025 09:22 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/kylie-ainslie-intro/282 "2025-04-15T09:22:36Z")
Hey y’all! I’m Kylie Ainslie. Since I’ve been roped into speaking at the Epinowcast seminar next month (2 April 2025 - mark your calendars!), I thought it was time for an introduction. I have a background in biostatistic… --- ## [Community seminar - 2025-04-02 - Kylie Ainslie - Scabies, who cares?](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-04-02-kylie-ainslie-scabies-who-cares/284)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [1 April 2025 21:31 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-04-02-kylie-ainslie-scabies-who-cares/284 "2025-04-01T21:31:04Z")
Tomorrow at 3pm UK time (see call details in the link). See Kylie Ainslie - Scabies, who cares? – Epinowcast Please post any async questions here. --- ## [Future of nowcasting infectious disease meeting at RIVM](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/future-of-nowcasting-infectious-disease-meeting-at-rivm/275)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 3\ **Last updated:** [27 March 2025 16:16 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/future-of-nowcasting-infectious-disease-meeting-at-rivm/275 "2025-03-27T16:16:50Z")
Opening a meta-thread for conversation about this conference. My talk was titled: “From code to community: Implementing a flexible generative nowcasting framework” and you can see the slides here rivm-code-to-community … --- ## [Community seminar - 2025-02-25 - Oswaldo Gressani - The EpiLPS ecosystem](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-02-25-oswaldo-gressani-the-epilps-ecosystem/281)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [5 March 2025 12:38 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-02-25-oswaldo-gressani-the-epilps-ecosystem/281 "2025-03-05T12:38:26Z")
Next Wednesday at 3pm UK time (see call details in the link). See Oswaldo Gressani - The EpiLPS ecosystem – Epinowcast Please post any async questions here. --- ## [Nowcasting norovirus cases (shameless self plug)](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/nowcasting-norovirus-cases-shameless-self-plug/278)
**Author:** [@jonathon.mellor](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/jonathon.mellor)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [28 February 2025 17:01 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/nowcasting-norovirus-cases-shameless-self-plug/278 "2025-02-28T17:01:50Z")
My team at UKHSA’s paper on nowcasting norovirus methods has now been published here: An application of nowcasting methods: Cases of norovirus during the winter 2023/2024 in England | PLOS Computational Biology What we… --- ## [Epidist 0.2.0 and primarycensored 1.1.0](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/epidist-0-2-0-and-primarycensored-1-1-0/273)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [12 February 2025 16:25 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/epidist-0-2-0-and-primarycensored-1-1-0/273 "2025-02-12T16:25:23Z")
Combined post for two minor releases from epidist and primarycensored respectively. The main interesting updates to primarycensored is that the documentation was improved based on feedback from @kcharniga2 and there is … --- ## [New paper looking at joint truncation adjustment and Rt estimation](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/new-paper-looking-at-joint-truncation-adjustment-and-rt-estimation/260)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 3\ **Last updated:** [12 February 2025 13:49 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/new-paper-looking-at-joint-truncation-adjustment-and-rt-estimation/260 "2025-02-12T13:49:23Z")
See https://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:27894ea6-f598-48ca-b3d8-b782b1bdc7a8/files/sf4752j85z From a skim the idea seems very similar to the approach used in @adrianlison Generative Bayesian modeling to nowcast the effect… --- ## [10 Simple Rules for Leadership Without Formal Authority](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/10-simple-rules-for-leadership-without-formal-authority/267)
**Author:** [@joshwlambert](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/joshwlambert)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [12 February 2025 11:16 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/10-simple-rules-for-leadership-without-formal-authority/267 "2025-02-12T11:16:37Z")
Hi epinowcast community :wave:, An interesting collaborative piece on leadership in open-source software communities, which might be of interest to those within this community 10 Simple Rules for Leadership Without Form… --- ## [How can we build a product in the open - talk from Chris Rackauckas](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/how-can-we-build-a-product-in-the-open-talk-from-chris-rackauckas/269)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 2\ **Last updated:** [12 February 2025 11:15 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/how-can-we-build-a-product-in-the-open-talk-from-chris-rackauckas/269 "2025-02-12T11:15:32Z")
Talk: How can we build a product in the open https://youtube.com/watch?v=kuzwUFuIyk4&si=UBM6CYgFgwBPkvrL Chris is behind a lot of the good work that SciML does in the Julia ecosystem and has partly supported this with a… --- ## [Community seminar - 2025-02-05 - Friederike Becker - The Influence of Ensemble Size and Composition on Performance of Combined Real-time COVID-19 Forecasts](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-02-05-friederike-becker-the-influence-of-ensemble-size-and-composition-on-performance-of-combined-real-time-covid-19-forecasts/270)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [5 February 2025 15:43 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-02-05-friederike-becker-the-influence-of-ensemble-size-and-composition-on-performance-of-combined-real-time-covid-19-forecasts/270 "2025-02-05T15:43:21Z")
Tomorrow at 3pm UK time (see call details in the link). See Friederike Becker - The Influence of Ensemble Size and Composition on Performance of Combined Real-time COVID-19 Forecasts – Epinowcast Please post any async … --- ## [Kaitlyn Johnson - Intro](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/kaitlyn-johnson-intro/265)
**Author:** [@kejohnson9](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/kejohnson9)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [23 January 2025 14:04 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/kaitlyn-johnson-intro/265 "2025-01-23T14:04:59Z")
Hi everyone, completely failed to do an intro when I started joining calls a few years ago, so I’ll do one now. I’ve recently joined the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine as an Assistant Professor, working i… --- ## [Community Seminar 2024-09-04 - Kris Parag - Closing the feedback loop between infectious disease dynamics and real-time interventions](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2024-09-04-kris-parag-closing-the-feedback-loop-between-infectious-disease-dynamics-and-real-time-interventions/244)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 2\ **Last updated:** [22 January 2025 11:33 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2024-09-04-kris-parag-closing-the-feedback-loop-between-infectious-disease-dynamics-and-real-time-interventions/244 "2025-01-22T11:33:58Z")
Community seminar tomorrow at 3pm UK time See more: Kris Parag - Closing the feedback loop between infectious disease dynamics and real-time interventions – Epinowcast Please use this thread asynchronously for question… --- ## [Jon Mellor - intro](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/jon-mellor-intro/257)
**Author:** [@jonathon.mellor](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/jonathon.mellor)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [9 January 2025 11:12 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/jon-mellor-intro/257 "2025-01-09T11:12:55Z")
Long time fan, first time poster - thought I’d do an intro for me and my team. I’m Jon, a data scientist at UKHSA. I currently lead our short-term forecasting and nowcasting (affectionately termed “pancasting”) workstre… --- ## [Community seminar 2025-01-08 - Spencer Fox - Optimizing disease outbreak forecast ensembles and the use of microHubs](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-01-08-spencer-fox-optimizing-disease-outbreak-forecast-ensembles-and-the-use-of-microhubs/254)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 2\ **Last updated:** [7 January 2025 18:30 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2025-01-08-spencer-fox-optimizing-disease-outbreak-forecast-ensembles-and-the-use-of-microhubs/254 "2025-01-07T18:30:42Z")
Today at 3pm (in 4 minutes)! --- ## [2024: The Year in Review](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/2024-the-year-in-review/256)
**Author:** [@system](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/system)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [1 January 2025 13:28 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/2024-the-year-in-review/256 "2025-01-01T13:28:26Z")
2024's Top Users Most Time Reading User Hours Read @jamesazam 1 @kejohnson9 1 @athowes 1 @Tumelosereo 1 @medewitt 1 @sambrand 1 @sangwoopark 1 @kgostic 1 @jimrothstein 1 @stp 1 M… [Previous page](https://community.epinowcast.org/latest.md?page=1) [Next page](https://community.epinowcast.org/latest.md?page=3)