# \#application **URL:** https://community.epinowcast.org/tag/application/13.md [Latest](https://community.epinowcast.org/latest.md) · [Categories](https://community.epinowcast.org/categories.md) · [Tags](https://community.epinowcast.org/tags.md) --- ## [Forecasting: Principles & practice book club](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/forecasting-principles-practice-book-club/276)
**Author:** [@kejohnson9](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/kejohnson9)\ **Replies:** 25\ **Last updated:** [6 October 2025 15:48 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/forecasting-principles-practice-book-club/276 "2025-10-06T15:48:13Z")
Hi all, Updated: A few folks at LSHTM are planning on setting up a book club to review some chapters and related materials in Forecasting principles & practice. There was some interest in extending this to the broader e… --- ## [Update: a simple reference model for nowcasting](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/update-a-simple-reference-model-for-nowcasting/332)
**Author:** [@kejohnson9](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/kejohnson9)\ **Replies:** 9\ **Last updated:** [1 September 2025 15:10 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/update-a-simple-reference-model-for-nowcasting/332 "2025-09-01T15:10:11Z")
Following up from this first (!) epinowcast forum post with a bit of a project update. The baselinenowcast R package now contains low-level modular functions that can be used to produce nowcasts from a reporting triangle… --- ## [Nowcasting norovirus cases (shameless self plug)](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/nowcasting-norovirus-cases-shameless-self-plug/278)
**Author:** [@jonathon.mellor](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/jonathon.mellor)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [28 February 2025 17:01 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/nowcasting-norovirus-cases-shameless-self-plug/278 "2025-02-28T17:01:50Z")
My team at UKHSA’s paper on nowcasting norovirus methods has now been published here: An application of nowcasting methods: Cases of norovirus during the winter 2023/2024 in England | PLOS Computational Biology What we… --- ## [Stochastic Scenario Analysis Tool](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/stochastic-scenario-analysis-tool/181)
**Author:** [@pearsonca](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/pearsonca)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [30 August 2024 18:30 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/stochastic-scenario-analysis-tool/181 "2024-08-30T18:30:09Z")
Background Scenario analysis is a typical use case for infectious disease modelling - given what we think is going on, if we do X, how will it turn out compared to Y? Stochastic models are also a typical application - gi… --- ## [New technical blog post from the CDC featuring epinowcast: Improving CDC’s Tools for Assessing Epidemic Growth](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/new-technical-blog-post-from-the-cdc-featuring-epinowcast-improving-cdc-s-tools-for-assessing-epidemic-growth/208)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [8 December 2023 17:56 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/new-technical-blog-post-from-the-cdc-featuring-epinowcast-improving-cdc-s-tools-for-assessing-epidemic-growth/208 "2023-12-08T17:56:45Z")
At CDC’s Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics, we are building modeling tools and computational pipelines so that we can do complicated data analyses quickly and accurately in response to epidemics. Our goal is… --- ## [Community Seminar 2023-10-04 - Billy Quilty - Daily rapid testing in contact tracing for Covid-19: From models to trials to policy in the UK](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2023-10-04-billy-quilty-daily-rapid-testing-in-contact-tracing-for-covid-19-from-models-to-trials-to-policy-in-the-uk/194)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 3\ **Last updated:** [4 October 2023 16:13 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2023-10-04-billy-quilty-daily-rapid-testing-in-contact-tracing-for-covid-19-from-models-to-trials-to-policy-in-the-uk/194 "2023-10-04T16:13:08Z")
Today at 2pm UK time we have Billy Quilty talking about “Daily rapid testing in contact tracing for Covid-19: From models to trials to policy in the UK”. More here: Epinowcast - Billy Quilty - Daily rapid testing in con… --- ## [Community Seminar 2023-04-05 - Rafa Lopes, and Leo Bastos - Nowcasting the notification delay for real-time decision making, with Nowcaster](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2023-04-05-rafa-lopes-and-leo-bastos-nowcasting-the-notification-delay-for-real-time-decision-making-with-nowcaster/132)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 5\ **Last updated:** [4 October 2023 15:33 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2023-04-05-rafa-lopes-and-leo-bastos-nowcasting-the-notification-delay-for-real-time-decision-making-with-nowcaster/132 "2023-10-04T15:33:14Z")
Next Wednesday (5th of April @2pm UK time) we have the third seminar in our new real-time analysis seminar series (last time we heard from @adrianlison Community Seminar 2023-03-01 - Adrian Lison - Generative modeling ap… --- ## [New {epinowcast} vignette - Estimating the effective reproduction number jointly with correcting for right truncation - feedback and discussion thread](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/new-epinowcast-vignette-estimating-the-effective-reproduction-number-jointly-with-correcting-for-right-truncation-feedback-and-discussion-thread/190)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [6 September 2023 15:18 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/new-epinowcast-vignette-estimating-the-effective-reproduction-number-jointly-with-correcting-for-right-truncation-feedback-and-discussion-thread/190 "2023-09-06T15:18:27Z")
We have just merged a new vignette (Estimating the effective reproduction number in real-time for a single timeseries with reporting delays • epinowcast) that discusses how to use epinowcast to estimate the effective rep… --- ## [Lessons learned from collaborative nowcasting of COVID-19 hospitalizations in Germany](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/lessons-learned-from-collaborative-nowcasting-of-covid-19-hospitalizations-in-germany/152)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [8 May 2023 12:43 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/lessons-learned-from-collaborative-nowcasting-of-covid-19-hospitalizations-in-germany/152 "2023-05-08T12:43:55Z")
@johannes has written up a summary of their and @dwolffram recent project: " Lessons learned from collaborative nowcasting of COVID-19 hospitalizations in Germany" You can read the summary on our blog: https://www.epino… --- ## [Intro - thanks Sam for mentioning about this forum](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/intro-thanks-sam-for-mentioning-about-this-forum/134)
**Author:** [@Mphatso](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/Mphatso)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [31 March 2023 16:06 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/intro-thanks-sam-for-mentioning-about-this-forum/134 "2023-03-31T16:06:30Z")
Hey all. Great to be here! My name is Mphatso Phiri. I’m a medical doctor and an infectious disease researcher. My disease interests are tuberculosis, malaria and HIV. I obtained an MSc in Epidemiology at LSHTM and curre… --- ## [Propagating uncertainty between models in EpiNow2](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/propagating-uncertainty-between-models-in-epinow2/119)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [23 February 2023 16:18 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/propagating-uncertainty-between-models-in-epinow2/119 "2023-02-23T16:18:21Z")
Interesting discussion happening in the EpiNow2 discussion forum about how to pass nowcasts into a modelling pipeline for Rt estimation and short-term forecasting. Useful to think about the parts of the problem epinowca… --- ## [Community Seminar 2023-02-01 - Johannes Bracher - Collaborative nowcasting of COVID-19 hospitalization incidences in Germany](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2023-02-01-johannes-bracher-collaborative-nowcasting-of-covid-19-hospitalization-incidences-in-germany/116)
**Author:** [@samabbott](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/samabbott)\ **Replies:** 2\ **Last updated:** [1 February 2023 15:27 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/community-seminar-2023-02-01-johannes-bracher-collaborative-nowcasting-of-covid-19-hospitalization-incidences-in-germany/116 "2023-02-01T15:27:04Z")
On Wednesday we have our first community real-time analysis seminar at 2pm UK time (see here for some background Community seminars for real-time infectious disease modelling)! @johannes will be presenting his and @dwol… --- ## [Nowcasting COVID-19 cases by specimen date in England](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/nowcasting-covid-19-cases-by-specimen-date-in-england/46)
**Author:** [@teojcryan](https://community.epinowcast.org/u/teojcryan)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [24 August 2022 22:52 UTC](https://community.epinowcast.org/t/nowcasting-covid-19-cases-by-specimen-date-in-england/46 "2022-08-24T22:52:02Z")
I’m currently working on nowcasting COVID-19 cases by specimen date (date at which test was taken) as part of my MSc project. The data available here presents a really interesting opportunity to explore the impact of rep…