Next Wednesday (5th of April @2pm UK time) we have the third seminar in our new real-time analysis seminar series (last time we heard from @adrianlison Community Seminar 2023-03-01 - Adrian Lison - Generative modeling approaches to nowcasting with incomplete line list data).
We will be hearing from Rafa Lopes, and Leo Bastos on their nowcaster R package.
Title: Nowcasting the notification delay for real-time decision making, with Nowcaster
Short abstract: Nowcaster is R package build to deal with the typical notification delays occurring on any surveillance systems. During the Covid-19 pandemic, and due to the specificities of Brazilian notification systems, delays where common place and has led to many misguided assertions about the real-time state of the pandemic. Nowcaster wrappers around a age-dependent model fitted in INLA, to estimate the occurring cases and deaths but not yet reported
This is some really neat work with some interesting trade-offs compared to @adrianlison which we heard about last time.
Connect to the seminar
You can sign up for our event calendar here: Google calendar
Or here for non-Google calendar users: ICAL link
Or just join the event directly itself here: https://lshtm.zoom.us/j/8290218109