Updated: A few folks at LSHTM are planning on setting up a book club to review some chapters and related materials in Forecasting principles & practice. There was some interest in extending this to the broader epinowcast community.
Details:
cadence: monthly, on the 2nd Tuesday of the month from 16:00-17:00 GMT starting on March 11th
format: hybrid, in person at LSHTM with a zoom option for those remote
structure: open to suggestions here, but my thought was that we could use this google sheet to sign up for chapters to lead on. Whoever leads on it would be in charge of chairing the meeting, leading a discussion on the material, and, if relevant, providing related tutorials/applications/examples to promote further discussion.
We’ll start with an overview of Chapters 1-4.
The goal would be for this to be relatively informal and a safe space for asking questions, discussing related topics, and hopefully generating some ideas. Personally, despite having been in the space of ID forecasting for a few years, a lot of these traditional forecasting methods are relatively new to me, so I am hoping to gain some familiarity and a better understanding of concepts I have maybe heard of, but have rarely if ever used myself. This is open to anyone interested, no need to identify as a forecaster.
If interested, just send me an email (kaitlyn.johnson@lshtm.ac.uk) and I will add you to the calendar invite.
Sounds great and I would be keen to be involved. Can we go earlier than the suggested time? Its outside core hours UK and very out of core hours in Europe and it would be great if we could be big tent here. For me any of those days is good in that kind of time range.
Update for all who are planning on attending on March 11th, we will be reviewing chapters 1-4. It will be hybrid, however, we have a very small room this time (which will not be the case in future months) so in person space will sadly be limited.
Reminder, we will be meeting again on Tuesday April 8th and are still looking for a volunteer to sign up to lead on chapter 5&6. Doesn’t need to be anything formal, and these chapters are still relatively light in terms of the technical forecasting components ( chapter 5 is about diagnostics and eval, chapter 6 is about scenario forecasts and the role of human judgment).
We have a large classroom booked for those interested in joining in person!
Like this message if you would be interested in using May’s month for FPP to discuss in greater depth methods in forecast evaluation (led by @jamesazam with input from others).
Hi all,
Little change of plans – we are going to insert a forecast eval journal club led by @jamesazam on May 20th. We will push the rest of the weeks back and resume meeting the second Tuesday of the month.
Also adding in for discussion on Tuesday May 20th which is a recent pre-print involving members of the book club on evaluating forecasts in light of confounding factors/ forecastability.
For June’s book club, we will spend about 10-15 minutes or so for an introduction to Kath Sherratt’s recent preprint on evaluating forecasts in light of confounding factors. Then we will dive into Chapter 7 on Time Series Regression.
The meeting will take place on Tuesday June 10th from 4-5pm BST in KS-207A for those in person.